As ever, I will be keeping a close and beady eye on the market movers and shakers through Coral Eurobet, Bet365, & Paddy Power.

2009: My tips Norway (Win 7/4 - 1st), Iceland (Each Way 28/1 - 2nd), Estonia (Each Way 28/1- 6th), Switzerland (Each Way 75/1 - 14th S1)
2008: My tips Russia (Win 7/2 -1st), San Marino (to qualify for final - err no...last), Lithuania (to get 0 points, err no 30 points),
2007: My tips Greece (Win 16/1 -7th ), Ukraine (Each Way 12/1 - 2nd), Bosnia Herzegovina (Each Way 80/1 - 11th)
2006: My tips Sweden (Win 6/1 - 5th), Finland (Each Way 28/1 - 1st), FYROM (Each Way 33/1 - 12th)
2005: My tips Romania (Each Way 28/1 - 3rd), Malta (Each Way 11/1 - 2nd), Austria (Each Way 100/1 - 35th)
2004: My tips Ukraine (Win 8/1 - 1st), Serbia (Each Way 6/1 - 2nd), FYROM (Each Way 28/1 - 14th)

So what do I reckion? Well, it doesn't take a braced-up city investor to realise that the Norwegians own the strongest Eurosong favourite since Adam was a lad. Alexander Rybak has been sitting pretty at around 2/1 since March, and I think the writing is on the wall. So let's turn our attention away from the winning markets, and onto Each Way. Is there any value to be had here? Presuming Greece, Turkey and Bosnia will all be there or thereabouts at the end, there's still always likely to be one or two surprises. And I'm here to suggest them.
Estonia have a low-key number with enough visual interest to maybe swing voters their way. In a year of ballads, Iceland is definitely the classiest and even unfancied but landlocked FYROM should qualify at a big price, but the real value at this late stage lies with Switzerland. I hate to say it, but the Swiss have a solid act, good visuals and an attractive outside price.They haven't had much support from the rest of Europe in recent years but I think it may be worth a punt this time around. As usual it's a crap shoot, but good luck in your random acts of betting...

Odds from a selection of online bookmakers - dated 9th May 2009
 
Coral
Notes
bet365
 
Paddy Power
Norway
7/4
Hottest fave since Dana was a slip of a girl, yes 1961! Can it be denied?
13/8
11/8
Greece
6/1
Walloper by the numbers. Sparkly suit and plinth. Top ten but any further?
11/2
6/1
Turkey
9/1
Banal tedium but guaranteed a good show. No medal though.
8/1
8/1
Bosnia & H
9/1
Late support for this ethnic ballard . Maybe worth side bet?
15/2
8/1
UK
16/1
Asthmatic Jade may get a top 15 place. Don't let jingoistic fever kick in
18/1
16/1
Azerbaijan
16/1
Pop lite. Will have support a strong chance for a top 5. Consider.
14/1
16/1
Ukraine
20/1
Typical trashy bombast from the strongest of Euronation. Never discount.
20/1
16/1
Sweden
20/1
Dislike so no from me. Even Swedish opera seems middle of the road.
20/1
20/1
Malta
20/1
Proven performer, but song not strong enough. Finalist but no more
25/1
25/1
France
25/1
Another good singer but Piaf surely a niche market. Hence avoid.
25/1
25/1
Estonia
25/1
One of the simpler songs of contest. Has attributes to surprise. Consider
25/1
28/1
Iceland
25/1
Wonderful but ultimately doomed. Too classy for big prize. Heart says E/W
28/1
28/1
Germany
25/1
Trash swing, can't summon any enthusiasm. No.
25/1
20/1
Armenia
25/1
Bagpipes and bad pronunciation don't do it for me. Likely top ten
25/1
25/1
Spain
50/1
Weight of a nation causing white hair. Doomed to twenties downwards
33/1
33/1
Finland
40/1
One of few fast efforts but dulll presentation. May noteven qualify. No.
25/1
33/1
Montenegro
40/1
Shania Twain lite mediocrity. May qualify but no top ten
28/1
20/1
Denmark
40/1
Inoffensive enough, likely to qualify, but not worth hard earned cash
50/1
40/1
Serbia
80/1
Nutbags have charm, but only Balkans likely to pick up the phone
60/1
80/1
Lithuania
66/1
A touch of Baltic RnB gets applause but not going to wow everyone
33/1
40/1
Russia
50/1
Awful. No wonder snger has look of a haunted woman. Don't bother
40/1
33/1
Israel
66/1
Nice enough ditty, though cloying sentiment as always. May do okish
66/1
33/1
Portugal
100/1
A nation regressing after recent signs of life. Won't trouble leaderboard
75/1
66/1
Switzerland
66/1
Fallen from grace by common consent, but could well qualify. Interesting
75/1
66/1
Albania
80/1
Mid table obscurity a stick on certainty. Not an investment opportunity
125/1
50/1
Romania
100/1
Love it for the legs. May confound the odds. But don't count on it.
80/1
125/1
Belgium
66/1
Vodka soaked Elvis a pub novelty act, & worth a smile. Nowt else though
100/1
100/1
Ireland
66/1

My lovely horse is a classic compared to this tripe.

100/1
80/1
Cyprus
100/1
Woeful. Seemingly written by a 5-year-old & no Greece to vote for it.
200/1
250/1
Moldova
150/1
Could be top ten. Rouseabout ethnic hopping.
100/1
100/1
Poland
100/1
Stinks. Sorry Poland, but it does.
200/1
150/1
Netherlands
150/1
Split fans, I reckon heart's in the right place. Voters may agree. Finalists?
150/1
150/1
Slovenia
150/1
Stay in the boxes. Air on g-string with a remnant of something brown.
100/1
150/1
Bulgaria
150/1
Hoo-haa. Waving white flag at the rusty helmets & broadswords. Stinks
150/1
250/1
Hungary
125/1
Dare I say the campest ever? Dare I say it's too camp? And too sh#t? Yes
225/1
200/1
Andorra
150/1
Destined to be forgotten, Andorra has a bad track again. Next year maybe
150/1
250/1
Belarus
150/1
Mullet does not make me part with my money.
200/1
250/1
Croatia
150/1
Croatia have produced a song that isn't mediocre...it's worse than that.
200/1
250/1
FYROM
150/1
May qualify, not withstanding resolutely 80's styling. Not within top 10
225/1
300/1
Latvia
150/1
A 3 minute metaphorical road to hell. No no no.
200/1
250/1
Czech Rep
100/1
Freaky ringmaster singer a high point. The rest low as low can be.
200/1
300/1
Slovakia
150/1
God only knows why the Slovaks decided to return with this dirge.
150/1
300/1