As ever, I will be keeping a close and beady eye on the market movers and shakers and provide my sage summarised comments.

Even though the ealry doors favourite went on to win last year, it was hardly stellar. And I'm very much getting the same vibes this time around. "the stage name" Laurence is this year's likely winner and I'm not disagreeing as frankly there's nothing else pre-reghearsal that comes close.

2018: My tips Israel (Win 7/4 - 1st)
2017: My tips Italy (Win 4/1 - 6th)
2016: My tips Sweden (Win 12/1 - 5th), Spain (Each Way 66/1 - 22nd)
2015: My tips Sweden (Win 12/5 -1st), Hungary (Each Way 150/1 - 20th)
2014: My tips Sweden (Win 3/1 - 3rd), Norway (Win 14/1 - 8th)
2013: My tips Russia (Win 14/1 - 5th), Netherlands (Each Way 14/1 - 9th), Spain (last place 12/1 - 25th of 26)
2012: My tips Sweden (Win 2/1 - 1st), Russia (Each Way 9/1 - 2nd), UK (last place 33/1 - 24th of 26)
2011: My tips Azerbaijan (Win 12/1 - 1st) , B&H (Each Way 14/1 - 6th), Sweden (Each Way 10/1 - 3rd), Serbia (Each Way 100/1 - 14th)
2010: My tips Germany (Win 4/1 - 1st), UK (Last place - Yes), Turkey (Each Way 28/1 - 2nd), Romania (Each Way 80/1 - 3rd), Russia (Top Ten 5/2 - 11th ooh, almost a clean sweep)
2009: My tips Norway (Win 7/4 - 1st), Iceland (Each Way 28/1 - 2nd), Estonia (Each Way 28/1- 6th), Switzerland (Each Way 75/1 - 14th S1)
2008: My tips Russia (Win 7/2 -1st), San Marino (to qualify for final - err no...last), Lithuania (to get 0 points, err no 30 points),
2007: My tips Greece (Win 16/1 -7th ), Ukraine (Each Way 12/1 - 2nd), Bosnia Herzegovina (Each Way 80/1 - 11th)
2006: My tips Sweden (Win 6/1 - 5th), Finland (Each Way 28/1 - 1st), FYROM (Each Way 33/1 - 12th)
2005: My tips Romania (Each Way 28/1 - 3rd), Malta (Each Way 11/1 - 2nd), Austria (Each Way 100/1 - 35th)
2004: My tips Ukraine (Win 8/1 - 1st), Serbia (Each Way 6/1 - 2nd), FYROM (Each Way 28/1 - 14th)

So what do I reckon? As usual it's a crap shoot, but good luck in your random acts of betting...

 
 
Average Odds
Notes
Netherlands
7/4
Bookies suggest it's already a done deal. It's a simple ditty & rightly the favourite, but no classic all the same.
Russia
5/1
Over produced, over stylised, over sung, & over here. WIll it create European harmony? I'm not sure.
Switzerland
6/1
What on earth are the Swiss doing this high up? A workaday latino number enlivened by a young buck.
Sweden
9/1
Gospel soul isn't your staple ESC choice, but it doesn't stop the Swedes. I like it, but not enough to excel.
Italy
11/1

I fear more over-choreography from a nation that gives the contest a tracery of quality otherwise sadly absent

Iceland
12/1
Lordy! S&M and ESC collide in a SMESC miasma. The visuals are novel, the song heinous, the band wearing.
Cyprus
16/1
If it ain't broke. More olive-fuelled stomping which may result in more relative success. Good luck to them.
Greece
16/1
Don't get the appeal of this, sure she's appears to be capable the but the song is florid trumps.
Malta
20/1
Another minnow finding themselves with a betting nose bleed. It's passable, but may fade into background
Norway
28/1
At last, the Sami rapper you have been looking for! Euro-trance with more rolling vowels than Countdown.
Portugal
33/1
Be-masked ex-sex shop worker where the whiff of his song recalls the scent of used anal beads.
Azerbaijan
66/1
Not without merit, a return of sorts to Azeri form. A bearded hipster emotes via the medium of pop. Ok.
France
66/1
Bleached youtuber who if he wasn't French may have a chance. But he is, so he doesn't.
Slovenia
50/1
Time to check if your shoes are clean. Dream pop type minimalism which I rather like once, twice at a push.
Armenia
66/1
Uhuu. Mild bombast should help to get it further than it probably deserves. She'll give it large.
Australia
66/1
Popera shocker with a dress that will offend as much as the singer. Nothing held back apart from taste.
Denmark
80/1
Massive chair, even larger mouth. There's a saccharin shortage in Europe cos the Danes have it all.
Czech Rep
80/1
Part of me thinks this is a grind of a grind of a grind. The other bit enjoys students trying to improve their lot.
Belgium
100/1
Loo break
Macedonia
100/1
Newly named North Macedonia heading south on the leaderboard. The female yousuck.
Germany
125/1
Enthusiasm trumps ability yet again in a pair of unrelated off-key wannabes shouting a crude monstrosity.
Estonia
150/1
Somewhat comforting throwback of a Swedish power ballad in Tallinn. Upper mid table potential.
Albania
150/1
The usual Albanian quality wail over a stinking song. Not much else to say so I won't.
Spain
150/1
Living down to expectation, well-worn stereotypical cheeriness with added flamenco chords. Kids party time
UK
150/1
Geordie big baby Rice will be giving it plenty and getting precisely jack-all in return. Boiled or Fried, not fragrant
Ireland
200/1
Aah, dis-interesrted Dolcis shop girl almost does good. A noughties feel, but that's downright progressive
Israel
200/1
I'm not a politico but there's something about this that makes me a tad uncomfortable. Call to arms.
Hungary
200/1
If you want a jokey papa then I'd recommend Jim Royle instead, at least he's got a home. Good wordplay.
Finland
200/1
It's got the feel of a touch of the Watermans, his 15 mins of fame long since gone. Abject in every sense.
Austria
250/1
Approach with care, it may turn your hair blue.
Croatia
250/1
It's Croatian, nuff said. One for the price of two.
Romania
250/1
Successfully suggesting the after effects of pulling an all Saturday nighter. DT's are more pleasant.
Serbia
250/1
Shouty Balkan ballard that to my ears is a dead genre. An ex-genre, a genre that has ceased to be. Or should.
Litnuania
250/1
Shrill repellent pop, the type of which I suggest you avoid. A big cat mauling is distinctly preferable.
Montenegro
250/1
Words fail me, they really do. If this is a so-called "supergroup", what on earth are "groups" like?
San Marino
250/1
How low can you go? Serhat low, that's how low. So bad it's either not-quite good or just the best thing ever.
Latvia
250/1
I want to forget it already. Oh, I just have.
Georgia
250/1
That was a guttural descent into hell. You'll only have the one chance to catch this, which is the good news
Poland
250/1
Butter churners without the obvious charms or indeed performance ability. A long 3 mins this.
Moldova
250/1
I'll let them off occasionally for the odd lapse into earnest tripe. Shouldn't be 2nd bottom in t'betting tho
Belarus
250/1
Poor kid, she doesn't deserve to be bottom, although everything is relative. Highly unlikely qualifier.