As ever, I will be keeping a close and beady eye on the market movers and shakers and provide my sage summarised comments.

After a couple of short price favourites followed through, history shows it's increasingly difficult to spot any value pre-rehearsals. I'm ignoring the brassy big girl and the arrogant chanteuseat the top of the market and going with the be-frizzled high baller from Bern. All this is before we see them on stage so let's have a bit of fun and go with the high trash from Chisinau in the long markets..

2021: My tips Switzerland (Win 5/1) Moldova (Each Way 100/1)
2019: My tips Netherlands (Win 7/4 - 1st)
2018: My tips Israel (Win 7/4 - 1st)
2017: My tips Italy (Win 4/1 - 6th)
2016: My tips Sweden (Win 12/1 - 5th), Spain (Each Way 66/1 - 22nd)
2015: My tips Sweden (Win 12/5 -1st), Hungary (Each Way 150/1 - 20th)
2014: My tips Sweden (Win 3/1 - 3rd), Norway (Win 14/1 - 8th)
2013: My tips Russia (Win 14/1 - 5th), Netherlands (Each Way 14/1 - 9th), Spain (last place 12/1 - 25th of 26)
2012: My tips Sweden (Win 2/1 - 1st), Russia (Each Way 9/1 - 2nd), UK (last place 33/1 - 24th of 26)
2011: My tips Azerbaijan (Win 12/1 - 1st) , B&H (Each Way 14/1 - 6th), Sweden (Each Way 10/1 - 3rd), Serbia (Each Way 100/1 - 14th)
2010: My tips Germany (Win 4/1 - 1st), UK (Last place - Yes), Turkey (Each Way 28/1 - 2nd), Romania (Each Way 80/1 - 3rd), Russia (Top Ten 5/2 - 11th ooh, almost a clean sweep)
2009: My tips Norway (Win 7/4 - 1st), Iceland (Each Way 28/1 - 2nd), Estonia (Each Way 28/1- 6th), Switzerland (Each Way 75/1 - 14th S1)
2008: My tips Russia (Win 7/2 -1st), San Marino (to qualify for final - err no...last), Lithuania (to get 0 points, err no 30 points),
2007: My tips Greece (Win 16/1 -7th ), Ukraine (Each Way 12/1 - 2nd), Bosnia Herzegovina (Each Way 80/1 - 11th)
2006: My tips Sweden (Win 6/1 - 5th), Finland (Each Way 28/1 - 1st), FYROM (Each Way 33/1 - 12th)
2005: My tips Romania (Each Way 28/1 - 3rd), Malta (Each Way 11/1 - 2nd), Austria (Each Way 100/1 - 35th)
2004: My tips Ukraine (Win 8/1 - 1st), Serbia (Each Way 6/1 - 2nd), FYROM (Each Way 28/1 - 14th)

So what do I reckon? As usual it's a crap shoot, but good luck in your random acts of betting...

 
 
Average Odds
Notes
Malta
3/1
Apparently she's a force of nature. Like a land slide I presume. Likely to drift in the fortnight lead-up
France
4/1
More overhyped French style over substance. Really don't get it
Switzerland
5/1
Clearly best all round bet from the top echelons, all depends on staging
Italy
6/1
Sure rock's won before, but that had rubber masks. This is infintely better but there's no driller killer wear
Bulgaria
12/1
Soporific nonsense, neutral enough to have broader appeal but not a winner
Iceland
14/1
Unofficial holders of the crown, this is inferior but still a pleasure. Likely too amateur to excel
Sweden
18/1
Not Sweden's finest hour, but still better than most
Lithuania
18/1
Does have a usp, even if the usp is a bit shite. Finger waggling may earn top 5
Cyprus
22/1
Presentatino could sedn this either way. One to watch
Norway
25/1
Weirdly popular as visually weird. Derviative to my ears but noiseis positive
Finland
25/1
Another passable rocky pop number, but it's rock and rock does not land well in the Med
Romania
28/1
The indie entry of the year which never wins anyway, so it's a good job this isn't up to it
San Marino
28/1
Flo Rida is just about everything & could well be just about nothing if he doesn't turn up
Greece
28/1
Another gamine young thing who maybe negated bythe other gamine young things
Russia
40/1
Continuing the proud tradition of washer women
Ukraine
50/1
Pagan nose accessories notwithstanding, this is mouth music malardy
Israel
66/1
Could go either way, a risk free solid bit of fluff
Belgium
80/1
I got a very small sneaking suspicion on this. Pure MOR sometimes excels
Azerbaijan
80/1
Derivative drivel 1
Croatia
80/1
A relative improvement from the nation but not going to be enough
Serbia
100/1

Derivative drivel 2

Moldova
100/1
It's so trashy as well as catchy, I almost want it to win & Moldova always look to put on a show. Watch.
UK
125/1
Usual bottom 3 likelihood
Portugal
150/1
Far too generous
Australia
150/1
Incredibly too generous
Austria
200/1
Not good
Ireland
200/1
I mean anything this low in the market can realsitically be ignored, but all told it's not a shocker
Germany
200/1
Whereas this is. Solid last place chances
Denmark
200/1
So far up it'sown backside even a vet couldn't get it out with an arm length glove
Netherlands
250/1
One of thos I quite rate so will probably finish bottom 3
Latvia
250/1
Truly bereft of any musical merit. It does have a future within advanced interrogation techniques
Spain
250/1
Very slightly overpriced
North Macedonia
250/1
Yawn
Czech Rep
300/1
I'm not even going to comment
Albania
300/1
Cleavage catastrophe
Slovenia
300/1
Forgotten what's its even like
Poland
300/1
I'm presuming the audience won't know about the political baggage, and it isn't bottom, its mid table
Estonia
300/1
slightly hard done by but I'm not going to lose sleep