As ever, I will be keeping a close and beady eye on the market movers and shakers and provide my sage summarised comments. Having been successful for 4 years on the bounce, 2012 is highly likely to be another sure thing. So with Sweden sewing up top spot, the only real sport will be found on each-way punts. During the early stages of April it appears Italy are a decent bet, but if it's decent odds you're after how about the ever dependable Ukraine at 50/1 or less likely the outpost that is Moldova at 100/1.

2011: My tips Azerbaijan (Win 12/1 - 1st) , B&H (Each Way 14/1 - 6th), Sweden (Each Way 10/1 - 3rd), Serbia (Each Way 100/1 - 14th)
2010: My tips Germany (Win 4/1 - 1st), UK (Last place - Yes), Turkey (Each Way 28/1 - 2nd), Romania (Each Way 80/1 - 3rd), Russia (Top Ten 5/2 - 11th ooh, almost a clean sweep)
2009: My tips Norway (Win 7/4 - 1st), Iceland (Each Way 28/1 - 2nd), Estonia (Each Way 28/1- 6th), Switzerland (Each Way 75/1 - 14th S1)
2008: My tips Russia (Win 7/2 -1st), San Marino (to qualify for final - err no...last), Lithuania (to get 0 points, err no 30 points),
2007: My tips Greece (Win 16/1 -7th ), Ukraine (Each Way 12/1 - 2nd), Bosnia Herzegovina (Each Way 80/1 - 11th)
2006: My tips Sweden (Win 6/1 - 5th), Finland (Each Way 28/1 - 1st), FYROM (Each Way 33/1 - 12th)
2005: My tips Romania (Each Way 28/1 - 3rd), Malta (Each Way 11/1 - 2nd), Austria (Each Way 100/1 - 35th)
2004: My tips Ukraine (Win 8/1 - 1st), Serbia (Each Way 6/1 - 2nd), FYROM (Each Way 28/1 - 14th)

So what do I reckon? d. As usual it's a crap shoot, but good luck in your random acts of betting...

Average Odds taken from a selection of online UK bookmakers - dated 24th April
 
Average Odds
Notes
Sweden
2/1
Euro dance with uplifing appeal during these hard times. A hot and worthy favourite
Italy
7/1
Olive skinned confident lass has definite top 3 potential.
Russia
9/1
The one to talk about but not necessarily to bet on. I'm as bemused as the oldest gran why this is popular
UK
14/1
Although class never dies, rubber faced Mr Dorsey may metaphorically corpse. Sadly can't see top ten.
Denmark
14/1
A live each way, or could be a no-hoper. One of the few tricky efforts to nail. Cute and forgettable. 
Serbia
14/1
Deja vu is not uncommon for me, but this is taking the mick. 2004 all over again, & it was boring the 1st time.
Spain
16/1
A ballard doesn't really suit this clearly adept Amazonian woman. Fails to do her justice.
Germany
20/1
ANother middle of the road Germany fails to raise a pulse. Unprepossessing mid table. Don't bother.
Norway
20/1
Norway are writing the rulebook on clinical positioning of singer/song, & have copied Sweden'11. Hope it fails
Iceland
20/1
Can't even summon up a snore, and yet the most likely of the ballards to succeed..
Ireland
20/1
And who thought this would be a good idea. As unwanted as Clarkson on a Greenpeace boat. Beyond terrible
Greece
25/1
The shortest skirts in Nicosia isn't enough to mask over the insipid non-entity of this song. Oh oh oh oh oh.
Romania
25/1
Saved money on songwriters for a free holiday in Dubai. La lai la lai la lai, everybody move along. Finalist
Cyprus
33/1
Euro dance li li li li li li li lite, and could get them through to the Final, but then an also ran.
Turkey
33/1
A shocker from the normally reliable Turks, and a low 10's finishing position. Avoid
Azerbaijan
40/1
They build a stadium for the show and then can't stump up enough cash for a decent song. Tragic
Ukraine
50/1
Anyone would think they've a football tournament coming up. Generous odds, catchy, and Ukraine. Consider.
Estonia
66/1
I would say typically understated Estonian effort, but it's a lot deeper and a lot more dull than that. Qualifier
Slovenia
66/1
This is one of the least memorable songs of this or any generation. What was it again? Aah aaah aah aah.
Hungary
100/1
Relatively low in the betting, compared to the competition. Should make it through which is success enough
Belarus
100/1
Costumes from The Running Man, Song from Lithuania 2006, Desperation from the most obvious source.
France
100/1
The Asian vote is not historically a big factor in a European Song contest, but good luck to them
Finland
100/1
Kuunkuiskaajat-like remake, an innocent little ditty with marginal appeal. Will hopefully qualify, but no more.
Latvia
100/1
Should be done under the trades description act. Sir Mick Jagger did not write this travesty.
Netherlands
100/1
Aah the Dutch... simple, catchy, mad as a box of frogs. Chances are as endangered as the Sioux
Switzerland
100/1
For me as unwelcome as a poo in my waterpipe. Which means it'll probably be the big surprise of the evening
Austria
100/1
Clearly a two fingers salute to Eurosong. If they're going to stay in the comp, send something decent. Woeful
Moldova
100/1
A jolly Edward Norton with ethnic horn. May put a alcohol fuelled smile on the face. Definite finalist. Well done.
Bulgaria
100/1
Early 90's Euro dance lite, not one to trouble the top of the leaderboard, which is a triumph for the Bulgars.
Slovakia
100/1
Offensive rock and should be lower in the list
Bosnia & H
100/1
What a disappointment. Lost in the general Eastern ballard malaise. I expect better BiH.
Lithuania
100/1
A nation building a strong body of evidence to suggest insanity in the ranks. Has fans, but they're insane too
Belgium
125/1
There's really no need to try and replicate Sandra Kim
Croatia
125/1
May as well copy/paste Croatia summary each year. EBU need to bring them in to discuss their committment
Georgia
150/1
A damp fat Alan Cumming and with similar talents. Abysmal in every way possible. May well qualify.
Israel
150/1
A typically Bosnian effort but in English & Hebrew. Enjoyable, well done Israel. No chance but a likely finalist
Albania
150/1
Tragic pretension, but has a chance to wail us into submission
Malta
150/1
As ever, Maltese cheese fails to produce a cracker
Portugal
150/1
Fado can be marvellous. But as proven here, it can also be beyond bad
Montenegro
150/1
Is it dire, orginal, or inspired? Maybe all three but I love it. I commend Rambo to you unreservedly. Doomed.
FYROM
200/1
The demise of FYROM continues apace. And now they've lost their Euro goodwill too
San Marino
200/1
Makes you want to hit her round the head with your laptop