On this page you can see my predictions for
the final 2007, on the face of it the most open competition since the
annual "best Scottish string vest of the year". So it is with
not a little trepidation that I put forward my calculations...
I looked almost scientifically at each songs' chances according to the
subjective factors of quality, position in the draw, and it's expected
performance live. Allied to this, I calculated the diaspora of neighbourly
cultural voting subject to geograpical boundaries, past voting trends,
and apportioning a percentage chance of a certain nation voting for another.
Surprisingly my calculations have for the first time mirrored many of
my other Eurofans colleagues in that Serbia's butch walloper Marija shows
well. Her prominent chin is not impressive enough to match the Everage
glasses and smock however, and controversially I have Verka of the Ukraine
down to triumph. So be it. Again I have absolutely no confidence in my
prediction this year, and bear in mind these wise words may have to be
altered once we see the rehearsals.
Of the top ranked semi-finalist qualifiers, only Bulgaria punches above
its weight, maintaining a fifth position which would be their best finish
by about 45 places. The real shock is Moldova, who I've got at 6th, but
for the life of me I can't see why it deserves a finish of that magnitude.
I'm disappointed by the result of Greece and Ireland, two nations I expected
better things from. The bottom three BTW are...guess what...three of the
big four, with the crowning turd in the waterpipe Scooch crawling in at
24th, a truly justified position. Finally, I've predicted 6 of the top
ten to be qualifiers, which matches recent trends. So if I'm correct we're
due to be heading East/South East again, with all of the top 6 hailing
from the lands of mezes and wooden instrumentation.
You can see the sem final prediction here